Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 1.970005 2.247335 2.551871 2.911445 3.324867 3.785863 4.339649
2025-10-05 1.643276 2.024762 2.478661 3.060006 3.786992 4.668920 5.824289
2025-10-12 1.421348 1.868083 2.436704 3.216997 4.265408 5.633012 7.564839
2025-10-19 1.228293 1.705922 2.350071 3.288289 4.630102 6.495259 9.311044
2025-10-26 1.077837 1.570954 2.270594 3.344675 4.968330 7.357002 11.185341
2025-11-02 0.922152 1.401732 2.112987 3.256531 5.071863 7.880419 12.628640
2025-11-09 0.779933 1.230323 1.924970 3.088612 5.018293 8.141622 13.682555
2025-11-16 0.694199 1.133731 1.836992 3.061512 5.177767 8.753157 15.394631
2025-11-23 0.616569 1.039356 1.738949 3.001145 5.267223 9.250854 16.974363
2025-11-30 0.586619 1.020312 1.762232 3.148923 5.734964 10.465563 20.041165
2025-12-07 0.549448 0.983669 1.749703 3.229184 6.087714 11.514921 22.954409
2025-12-14 0.503424 0.925427 1.691215 3.215537 6.258598 12.238766 25.327774
2025-12-21 0.446661 0.842283 1.580029 3.092102 6.208171 12.541105 26.923125
2025-12-28 0.428818 0.830927 1.602922 3.235576 6.717121 14.054176 31.396301
2026-01-04 0.413743 0.823105 1.631538 3.394226 7.280642 15.767277 36.631866
2026-01-11 0.390769 0.796647 1.619543 3.465610 7.665098 17.146809 41.339883
2026-01-18 0.368652 0.769337 1.602402 3.523124 8.026013 18.526251 46.301369
2026-01-25 0.335564 0.715073 1.522082 3.428994 8.022345 19.050252 49.189740
2026-02-01 0.299366 0.650147 1.411490 3.251208 7.793789 18.994787 50.540261
2026-02-08 0.278327 0.616583 1.366671 3.222358 7.925545 19.854411 54.536806
2026-02-15 0.256805 0.579664 1.310278 3.158523 7.960380 20.471013 57.968220
2026-02-22 0.251902 0.580578 1.341354 3.314432 8.584911 22.737026 66.633838
2026-03-01 0.242579 0.570047 1.344163 3.399119 9.032975 24.595817 74.455181